Holiday
MXIC旺宏243 W5W6
In daily life, we make decisions so often such as choosing clothes, a restaurant for lunch, or a place for visiting, and so on. Some decisions are done out of our consciousness, some require our deep consideration. How can we deal with the decision problem? Can we understand more about the process and make a better decision? This course is aimed to introduce the fundamentals in decision theory and game theory through lectures, films, and experiments. Six of the 16 weeks are arranged to perform experiments for students to practice the theories and the associated applications.
Course keywords: Decision Making, Game Theory, Risk, Free Will, Rationality, Decision Making and Games in Daily life Wed 13:20-15:10, spring semester, 2023 NOTICE: For the students who want to take this course (whether on the list or not), you HAVE to attend the first two weeks (2/15 and 2/22). The attendance and assignment for the two weeks are 10% in the final score. Week 1 (2/15): Introduction A. Decision theory and Game theory B. How we proceed: lectures, experiments, homework, and evaluation C. Questions for today D. Evaluations: group reports and 2 min presentation Week 2 (2/22): Decision under Certainty A. What is decision under certainty B. Sufficient information C. Dilemmas D. Moral issues Ch. 1 in R2 F1. Making Decisions Shouldn't be this Hard - The Lunch Decision, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRUxUWBqYD4 Week 3 (3/1): Experiment I Jigsaw reading on an Article: Good or rational decision (instrumental rationality) Reading, Discussions, and presentation Ch. 3, 4 in R8 Week 4 (3/8): Decision under Risk - fundamentals A. Reviews in Mathematics: probability, expected value B. Expected Utility and Expected Utility theory C. Survey on decision making Ch. 1 in R8 Week 5 (3/15): Decision under Risk - How A. What is Risk? B. Prospect theory Ch. 26 in R15 Week 6 (3/22): Decision under Risk - application (3/22) A. Experiment II: Measuring your confidence B. Being an honest decision maker Ch. 29 in R15 F3, 5 Steps To Better Decision Making: https://youtu.be/uZOh5xIullA Week 7 (3/29): Risky options Experiment III: Fine! Thank you – policy making Discussion and presentation Week 8 (4/5): holiday (4/5) Week 9 (4/12): Decision Making under Uncertainty - while information is insufficient A. Black Swan phenomena B. Positive or negative feedback C. Min, Max, or other strategies Ch. 2, 3 in R4 F5. How To Improve Decision Making Skills, https://youtu.be/2tCYy66CyuQ F6. Decision Making, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pbBS8sHrDgA Week 10 (4/19): Midterm Examination Week 11 (4/26): Game theory - introduction A. Common knowledge of rationality B. Guessing game Ch. 1-3 in R16 Week 12 (5/3): Game theory – Learning by playing A. Dealing with a game B. Experiment IV: playing games P. 3-29 in R3 Week 13 (5/10): Experiment V Roommate, Free Riders, Battle of the Sexes, and so on P. 30-59 in R3 Ch. 3 in R18 Week 14 (5/17): Cooperation A. Cooperate or not cooperate? B. experiment VI: Tragedy of the commons, designing a game Ch. 10 in R16 Ch. 7 in R18 Week 15 (5/24): Experiment VII A. Dice or coin? Games on probability with competitors B. Evolutionary stable strategy Ch. 4, Ch. 5 in R11 F7. How can groups make good decisions? https://youtu.be/JrRRvqgYgT0 P. 99-117 in R3 R19 Week 16 (6/1): Final examination Evaluation: (1) Attendance for the first two weeks (2/15, 2/22): 10 % The students who want to take this course, whether on the list or not, have to attend to the class. Important information and requirements will be announced. (2) Participation and Discussion for the rest: 10 % The students are required to answer the “questions for today” released in the class every week (10 times in total). (3) Midterm examination: 15 % (4) Experiments: 50 % Students are required to write a group report for each experiment. The reports are evaluated by peers. (5) Final examination: 15 % (6) Bonus: 10%. Students can participate an experiment on perspective drawing, which will be held on 2 hours on some Friday afternoons. R32; References: R1. An Introduction to Game Theory, Martin J. Osborne, ISBN-10: 0195128958 R2. An Introduction to Decision Theory 2nd edition, Martin Peterson, ISBN: 978-1- 107-15159-8 R3. Introducing Game Theory, Ivan Pastine, Tuvana Pastine, and Tom Humberstone, ISBN: 978-178578-082-0 R4. Economia emotiva 情感經濟學, Matteo Motterlini, ISBN: 978-986-134-145-3 R8. Sidetracked: Why our decisions get derailed, and how we can stick to the plan 為什麼我們的決定常出錯?,Francesca Gino, ISBN: 978-986-272-603-7 R10. Misbehaving: the Making of behavioral economics 不當行為, Richard H. Thaler, ISBN: 978-986-134-277-1 R11. Evolutionary Dynamics: exploring the equations of life, Martin A. Nowak, ISBN: 0-674-02338-3 R15. Thinking, fast and slow, Daniel Kahneman, ISBN: 978-0-374-53355-7 R16. Prisoner’s Dilemma 囚犯的兩難-賽局理論與數學天才馮紐曼的故事, William Poundstone, ISBN: 978-986-7174-76-5 R17. The evolution of cooperation, Robert Axelrod, ISBN: 0-465-02121-2 R18. Rock, Paper, Scissors: Game theory in everyday life 剪刀、石頭、布-生活中的賽局 理論, Len Fisher, ISBN: 978-986-216-461-7 (English edition: 978-0-465-00938-1) R19. Pan W, Chen Y-S (2018) Network approach for decision making under risk—How do we choose among probabilistic options with the same expected value? PLoS ONE 13(4): e0196060. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0196060
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Average Percentage 84.95
Std. Deviation 16.94
平均百分制 91.46
標準差 5.78
平均百分制 87.38
標準差 6.98
本課程為16週課程,加退選期間欲選課請透過加簽
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